Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 117.823362 135.219021 155.251978 180.249285 210.917854 247.730573 2.958995e+02
2025-05-04 92.516786 113.873403 140.973364 178.685419 231.152644 303.742833 4.159609e+02
2025-05-11 79.488220 102.467965 133.602991 180.403596 251.901608 362.562634 5.596970e+02
2025-05-18 69.301337 92.358043 125.130754 177.347520 263.198662 408.920430 7.028548e+02
2025-05-25 62.780079 86.087065 120.622946 178.581465 280.538141 469.618612 9.024009e+02
2025-06-01 57.357379 80.536163 116.103707 178.517785 295.080940 529.587579 1.136712e+03
2025-06-08 52.435459 75.066482 110.811115 175.939652 304.025856 581.193304 1.387444e+03
2025-06-15 50.164939 73.412855 111.366493 183.623057 334.804081 692.947822 1.908284e+03
2025-06-22 45.646672 67.644647 104.247672 175.745327 330.982415 719.905677 2.179952e+03
2025-06-29 42.790732 64.329314 100.961421 174.690130 341.967070 790.693318 2.709087e+03
2025-07-06 40.389733 61.543716 98.274043 174.351286 354.533188 872.327613 3.416788e+03
2025-07-13 39.567184 61.366360 100.267078 184.004207 394.389811 1061.384354 5.126520e+03
2025-07-20 38.999976 61.757804 103.709903 198.326704 454.212378 1377.055495 9.112093e+03
2025-07-27 36.602268 58.666070 100.120568 196.252259 468.230118 1533.766219 1.279278e+04
2025-08-03 34.872137 56.630622 98.369622 198.185346 495.355331 1778.690834 2.021233e+04
2025-08-10 32.817702 53.807096 94.689948 194.721536 504.281702 1947.919647 2.925533e+04
2025-08-17 31.395241 52.059697 93.044929 196.119497 530.557741 2250.393638 5.103524e+04
2025-08-24 29.980899 50.209621 90.976525 196.047339 551.986882 2560.675160 9.304489e+04
2025-08-31 28.470483 48.056620 88.034374 193.126967 561.952933 2814.864888 1.665179e+05
2025-09-07 27.937394 47.789807 89.200374 201.835584 622.576212 3599.194375 7.474214e+05
2025-09-14 26.218626 45.021381 84.488341 192.906918 605.447745 3659.613144 1.313688e+06
2025-09-21 25.149921 43.505279 82.501190 191.712222 622.662626 4121.110845 7.475296e+06
2025-09-28 24.212416 42.195097 80.868497 191.328646 643.966452 4703.783874 1.143414e+09